Arnold Palmer Invitational

Thankfully we’ve been distracted from last week’s blowout at Copperhead, by Tiny Tom’s Cheltenham tips that have unbelievably brought productivity in UG offices to an all-time low!
With one eye on the racing and the other on research for Bay Hill, we’ve been trying to find reasons not to back Adam Scott who is officially hotter than molten lava right now. The Florida swing continues on another fine test which is reflected in the make-up of our picks – all guys who have duked it out on the biggest stage and won.

Henrik Stenson 14/1 – Stake £10 e/w Potential return £195
The Big Swede is seemingly knocking on the door every week, and such is his form of late, he will no doubt be somewhat disappointed by last week’s 11th place finish. He loves it around Bay Hill having not been outside the top 20 since 2012 and finishing a close runner-up last year. His wait for another win on the PGA Tour surely can’t go on much longer. He’s 36 under par on his last 4 starts at Bay Hill.

Justin Rose 16/1 – Stake £10 e/w Potential return £220
They say that there’s nothing quite like sleeping in your own bed – well hopefully Justin will feel the benefit this week as he is virtually playing in his own garden. He says that his short game is feeling great, so you’d think that if he can regain his usual precision with his irons, then he’ll be up to his back wheels in it. It’s not like he’s playing badly with three recent top 20’s against class fields, he just needs to shift it up a gear, and with The Masters around the corner now would be a good time.

Paul Casey 45/1 – Stake £10 e/w Potential returns £582.50
He’s got a point to prove on the Ryder Cup front, and thus far he’s been playing well this season. He’s performing well on tough courses and claims to like Bay Hill – though it’s not reflected in previous starts here. He offers some good value here, and if the wind starts to blow a bit, which is expected on Sunday, then Casey could be a good fit.

Marc Leishman 50/1 – Stake £10 e/w Potential return £645
The Aussies are winning everywhere right now – will they continue here. Obviously Scott and Day would be considered more likely than last year’s Open runner-up, but his stats are showing encouraging signs. He’s right up there in strokes gained tee-to green and is making a shed-load of birdies too. Having won on the European Tour already this season, he knows his game isn’t too far off. Says he and his coach found a little issue with his game at Torrey Pines and he has been on the up ever since.

Zach Johnson 66/1 – Stake £5 e/w Potential returns £422.50
The Champion Golfer of 2015 won’t have enjoyed the slog around Doral but his is much more to his liking. He’s always there for the weekend at Bay Hill and it’s about time he got a later tee time on the Sunday.

Matt Every 80/1 – Stake £5 e/w Potential returns £510
Looking for a third straight win at Bay Hill, we can’t leave him on the bench this week. His record in the last few years here is only really surpassed by Tiger. He’s not been playing great coming in, but then he wasn’t last year. As Shooter McGavin once said “it must be something they put in the water” Every turns into an absolute gun whenever he plays here. Maybe, like us, he just loves Arnold Palmer?

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