AT&T Pebble Beach
Played over 3 courses – Pebble, Spyglass and Monterey Peninsula – this pro-am is a great event that usually draws a top class field. Being played over 3 courses can make the draw quite a factor in determining a winner as we saw in 2014 when Jordan Spieth got a duff draw played the most exposed Pebble Beach in an absolute hoolie and losing the tournament as a result. This event generally produces a high quality winner with proven record of bringing home big wins, with the odd exception like D.A. Points (2011) and Matty Gogel (2002).
With the weather set fair for the four days, we don’t think it will scupper anyone too badly, but if it does then Saturday at Pebble is looking most likely. We’ve spread our players a little to reflect this, and if the wind does get up then our boys playing at Spyglass will be the most relieved.
We’ve given Spieth and Day a swerve this week as their odds aren’t overly attractive and given the quality of the field, it’s no certainty that they’ll be able to deliver.
Dustin Johnson 12/1 – Stake £10 e/w Potential return £170
He doesn’t play many tournaments, but when he does he generally performs. Having played some great golf at Torrey Pines he backed out of contention with a heinous final round, but the conditions mean that we are discarding that as an anomaly. He has a great record at this event, with 2 wins and a clutch of high finishes. He is sure to be in the mix.
Jimmy Walker 18/1 – Stake £10 e/w Potential return £245
Walker is a curious one for us to back (we did at Torrey Pines and got an each way return) as we are concerned at the work he is doing with Butch. They seem to be working on a bizarre move which, when JW hasn’t got it results in a big miss left. Having said that, he has an awesome record here, loves Poa Annua greens and is producing results despite his swing changes.
Phil Mickelson 22/1 – Stake £10 e/w Potential returns £295
Every time we back him it seems that his back doors give in and he has a shocker! He is though, playing much better this season, particularly off the tee and his confidence is up. He’s going to win again soon, and we’re hoping to be around when he does. He’s won here a bunch of times and with the courses being relatively forgiving off the tee, he should be able to give himself plenty of chances on greens that he’s had plenty of success in the past.
Shane Lowry 40/1 – Stake £10 e/w Potential return £520
He’s playing some great golf at the moment, and having won the WGC last year, seems comfortable on the big stage. He recorded an impressive finish last year on debut. If any overseas player is going to break the American stranglehold on the event, then big Shen is our man. He’s a really classy player and seems to enjoy himself on the course, which will be a bonus during the 6 hour rounds this week!
Bryce Molder 100/1 – Stake £5 e/w Potential returns £635
He impressed us in Phoenix last week, and having recorded some good finishes here in the past, we’re keen to back him to do it again in the relaxed format of this tournament.
James Hahn 125/1 – Stake £5 e/w Potential returns £791.25
Got himself amongst it last week in Phoenix and has recorded a 3rdplace finish in the AT&T a couple of years back. He’s playing well, he’s won on tour and we can’t believe his odds are this long, so we’re giving him a run and hope that we can see a bit more of this over the weekend.