It’s back to normal after the thrills of The Masters last week. Despite a disappointing week for our picks, and most of the favourites, it was another exciting Masters and a huge thrill to see one of our own donning the jacket.
Recent trends (7 of the last 9) suggest that a good showing at Augusta doesn’t translate into a good week at Harbour Town. Perhaps the only similarity with Augusta is that experience counts for a lot as is borne out by the number of multiple winners there – and high quality ones too. This is a far tighter test off the tee than Augusta and staying on the straight and narrow is going to be key to success this week.
Only one of our picks this week were near the mix at Augusta last week, and we think that although the likes of Paul Casey and Matt Fitzpatrick are likely to suffer from the emotional excesses of contending in The Masters.
Brandt Snedeker 18/1 – Stake £10 e/w Potential return £245
This is undoubtedly a man that will be heavily backed this week having already won this season and shown plenty of fine form – including T10th at The Masters. Having previously won here, he’ll get plenty of backing and there is something about him wearing that tartan jacket that kind of looks right. His game is spot on for this course, and if he’s relatively fresh come Thursday then he should have the confidence to get the job done.
Kevin Kisner 28/1 – Stake £10 e/w Potential return £370
After a stellar debut last week, he’ll be delighted to get onto a course that doesn’t rely on bombing it off the tee. He’s a relatively short hitter, but that didn’t prevent him from a runners up finish last season. He’s having a great season thus far and should feel good about his chances.
Graeme McDowell 50/1 – Stake £10 e/w Potential return £645
G-Mac was actually in promising form right up until the event at Copperhead. He’s another previous winner of this event, whose accurate driving was key to negotiating his way to victory around this tight layout. We don’t read much into him missing the cut at Augusta as he had to contend with both the course being too long for him and also having to suffer the company of Ian Poulter for 2 rounds.
Russell Knox 60/1 – Stake £10 e/w Potential return £770
Missed cut last week shouldn’t discourage him too much. He’s recorded a T18th and 9th place here in the last 2 years and currently lies in 6th in the FEDEX points list. He’s due another big week and his good previous experiences here should stand him in good stead.
KJ Choi 100/1 – Stake £5 e/w Potential return £635
As the old saying goes “if you’re in trouble, back KJ” – well, he did us proud at Riviera and the way we see it this course should set-up well for him. He may not do anything too flashy but his way of plotting round a golf course could be ideal for us. If he comes good for us again, we may have to give him honorary life membership.
Francesco Molinari 100/1 – Stake £5 e/w Potential return £635
On the sly this former Ryder Cup player has been trending toward some good results having finished inside the top 10 as recently as Bay Hill. Another player who should feel comfortable here.