UG Tips: Waste Management Phoenix Open
This event has really built itself a reputation in recent years with some huge crowds and of course that 16th hole. Historically this event has been about crazy-low scoring and big-hitters dominating. We picked the winner here last year, and are optimistic about doubling up in 2017.
It has to be said that the markets have gone completely nuts right now, which is making value a difficult read. We can’t quite understand how John Rahm – a guy who has just bagged his first win at 22 years old – is priced at 16/1. Sure he’s a great prospect, but FFS this is bonkers! And as for Spieth being priced shorter than defending champion and super-hot Matsuyama?
We really do love Matsuyama’s chances this week, but the 10/1 price really isn’t that enticing for us so we’ll look for a bit more value lower down. Rahm will certainly be one to watch given that he went to college here and will get huge support – he also came T5th here as an amateur 2 years ago. One thing is for sure, the young Spaniard is going to make an impact and will have a lot of people beating off over his putting!
Phil Mickelson 28/1 – Stake £10 e/w Potential return £370
Phil’s record here is verging on the ridiculous – 22 cuts made from 27 visits, ten top 10’s, 3 wins, he’s shot 60 ….. twice. He’s also coming off a decent week at Torrey Pines and is starting a season fit for the first time in long time. There’s no doubt that he’ll love his time here this week and he’ll be keen to strike a blow for the old guys!
Harris English 45/1 – Stake £10 e/w Potential return £582.50
From his 5 visits he’s successfully negotiated the cut every time and secured a 3rd place finish last year. He’s not a name that jumps off the start sheet but he is a man who has a penchant for certain courses and consistently performs at these venues.
Tony Finau 45/1 – Stake £10 e/w Potential return £582.50
Big Tony looked in fine fettle last week as he bagged a T4th finish. This is certainly a course that fits his game perfectly and as he starts to feel comfortable with his status in the game he will relish the atmosphere. He’s carried some nice form from Hawaii and is very much expected to carry on the trend here.
Pat Perez 50/1 – Stake £10 e/w Potential return £645
Despite my hatred for this man, I continue to back him and he has not disappointed this season. Currently 3rd in the FEDEX he is enjoying somewhat of a renaissance since his lengthy absence due to injury. He won’t lack any support in his home event and will be able to use his maturity to go better than a couple of his near misses here in the past
JB Holmes 60/1 – Stake £5 e/w Potential return £322.50
JB was on fire last year and we would have killed to get these odds on him in the second half of the year. He took some time off after a hectic year and returned with a good week at Torrey Pines. He’s a 2 time winner here, finished well last year and could not pick a better course for his game. What’s not to like about these odds?
Adam Hadwin 90/1 – Stake £5 e/w Potential return £572.50
This guy must be about as confident as George Best going to watch Miss World. He’s having an amazing season thus far and most likely escaped everyone’s radar because of the time of year. Most people will be aware that he shot 59 two weeks ago on his way to 2nd. He also played well in the main last week but just faded a little at the end. He was an anonymous figure here last week but recorded a top 20 and will no doubt have fond memories. You can be sure that he’ll be feeling like a different man this time around.