WGC Dell Matchplay
Now this is a week that can offer up some real opportunities for some quite radical bets. Picking a winner is going to be tougher than most weeks given the nature of 18 hole matchplay. Yes, Rory did win last year, but this event in its various guises has produced no shortage of upsets and we’re expecting the unexpected. There are going to be opportunities to revisit each and every day, and with the opportunity of some optimistic accumulators, it’s going to be hard to resist.
Firstly, we’ll touch on our preferred tournament winners. We’ve gone through the brackets and plotted out who we think will progress form each group. Obviously a lot can change after even one match. Unlike a strokeplay event, there isn’t the same opportunity to repair the damage of 1 round.
You’ll see our predicted brackets if you CLICK HERE and only time will tell how insane they look. As a heads up, we’re backing Justin Thomas to duff up his old college mate Jordan Spieth in the second round of group matches. They have both played the course a load as juniors, but the reason we aren’t giving Spieth much chance is the fact that he’s got a massive target on his back and his game is best suited to grinding out scores over 72 holes.
So we’re going to throw money at the 4 players we have predicted a route to the semi-finals:
Louis Oosthuizen 33/1 – Stake £10 e/w Potential return £432.50
Louis is one of our advanced picks for The Masters, as we really like the form he’s showing coming in. Clearly he’s swinging it great, but he looks to have regained the control he seemed to lose over the last season or so. He’s got a seriously tough route through, but we are backing him to edge Andy Sullivan out in the group to build up a head of steam. When he gets going he can become very hard to beat indeed.
Danny Willett 33/1 – Stake £10 e/w Potential return £432.50
He did us proud at Doral, came close in this event at Harding Park last year and is just having a great run. He should romp his group on form, and given his desire to secure Ryder Cup play this year, should be motivated to go the distance here. We reckon that a semi-final place will seal his place on Darren Clarke’s team. Though we don’t feel he is quite ready for a major win, his series of 3rd place finishes in WGC events proves that he has the game to go close on this, slightly less stressful stage.
Sergio Garcia 40/1 – Stake £10 e/w Potential return £520
We’re putting our necks on the line here: Sergio for The Open at Troon! He is one of golf’s great disappointments – not that he hasn’t won enough, but because so many people are willing him to get across the line and win a big one. His game is in good shape right now, and given that he can’t win at Augusta, this track will suit him well. Mathcplay golf is right up his street.
Shane Lowry 66/1 – Stake £10 e/w Potential return £845
Another good matchplayer. Lowry knows that he can win a WGC, having done so at The Bridgestone last year. He’s got the game to beat anyone and we reckon he’ll relish a battle with Rory (if McIlroy gets out of his group) and will be well up for it!
Our 1st Round Accumulator (maybe an idea to pick a selection from these!):
Charl Schwartzel to beat Danny Lee @ 4/5
Paul Casey to beat Thongchai Jaidee @ 8/13
Sergio Garcia to beat Lee Westwood @ 8/11
Bubba Watson to beat Patton Kizzire @ 4/7
Dustin Johnson to beat Robert Streb @ 4/9
Louis Oosthuizen to beat Matt Jones @ 4/6
Adam Scott to beat Thomas Pieters @ 1/2
Shane Lowry to beat Martin Kaymer @ evens
Danny Willett to beat Jaco Van Zyl @ 11/4
Justin Rose to beat Fabian Gomez @ 11/4
£5 bet returns £574.26
Our longshot Accumulator of upsets for round 1:
Graeme McDowell to beat Jason Day @ 11/5
Matthew Fitzpatrick to beat Phil Mickelson @ 15/8
Jamie Donaldson to beat Jordan Spieth @ 7/2
Chris Wood to beat Bill Haas @11/8
£5 bet returns £491.62